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Old Nets Become New Celtics

 

When the Boston Celtics traded aging pieces from their illustrious past (and Jason Terry) for foundational assets geared towards creating a celebrated future, a range of emotions swept through basketball fans across Massachusetts. On draft night people were filled with a mixture of fury and sadness. Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett were gone. Two creaky players who, somehow, are still capable of contributing on a winning team.

Then, in the days and even hours after the trade was announced, little seeds of alleviation began to sprout. The Celtics were finally starting over, and they were going about it in the smartest way possible. Three unprotected first round picks from a team that had assumed their own once bleak future? Please and thank you.

But apart from the draft picks, real live players were involved in the deal as well. And so, Boston will look very different next year. On Monday, Celtics general manager Danny Ainge and his new head coach, Brad Stevens, sat on a podium to introduce three of the four incoming players who will take the floor in Celtic Green next season.

The three in attendance were Kris Humphries, MarShon Brooks, and Keith Bogans. The fourth man in the deal is Gerald Wallace, who was busy running a summer camp in Alabama. Humphries, Bogans, and Wallace share 31 years of NBA experience between them, while Brooks is entering his third year as a pro.

Here’s a guide detailing everything you need to know about these four players (Kris Joseph was also included in the deal, but has already been waived), with detailed breakdowns of both their contracts and how each will fit in on the court; hopefully, by the end, we’ll also be one step closer to figuring out what in the holiest of all hells the Boston Celtics will look like in 2014 and beyond.

MarShon Brooks

Contract Analysis: Guaranteed $1.2 million in 2014, followed by a $2.17 team option in 2015, and a $3.2 million qualifying offer the following season.

Brooks is still on his rookie contract, which means he’s extremely cheap. Entering his third season in the league, Brooks is under Boston’s control for the next three seasons at a price tag that won’t force them into a dire luxury tax situation or anything else of financial importance. If he can produce in a relatively significant capacity next season, Brooks could be a legitimate trade asset at some point in the not-so-distant future.

On-Court Fit: When the Nets signed Joe Johnson last summer, it meant Brooks’ minutes would take a devastating hit. And they did. He played over 500 fewer minutes last season than in his rookie campaign, scoring over 300 fewer points.

But his per 36 minute averages across the board were stable, which is good. He entered the league a high volume gunner and saw both his PER and True Shooting percentage increase from year one to year two. More good news, however slight it might be.

On a rebuilding Celtics squad, Brooks can get back to doing what he loves to do: shoot. He’ll most likely serve as a scorer off the bench, someone who jacks 12 shots in 25 minutes. That’s all fine, seeing as it’ll be in Boston’s best interest to be bad next year.

Nothing against Brooks—for all I know he could one day become the type of forceful offensive spark plug all competitive teams crave—but when he shoots a mid-range jumper with 16 seconds on the shot clock before a single pass has been made in a February blowout against the Sacramento Kings, this fan won’t be complaining.

On the defensive end Brooks is nothing short of a liability, and at his worst can be downright clueless. According to SynergySports, his individual opponents averaged 1.08 points per possession on spot up jumpers last season. Synergy tracks defenders who’re simply closest to whomever’s shooting, which doesn’t always make for dependable allocation of blame, but after watching dozens of plays involving Brooks, trust me when I say that 1.08 PPP is very real. And very sad.

Focus on Brooks in these two clips below. In the first he simply isn’t paying attention, and in the other he badly misreads the play, unnecessarily overcommitting and leaving his man wide open from the weakside corner.

Kris Humphries

Contract Analysis: One-year, $12 million. Why do people think the Boston Celtics are “tanking” next season? (They aren’t, by the way.) Kris Humphries is their highest paid player. That’s why. Thankfully, it’s only one season before that $12 million comes off the books. (If it were any longer, chances are Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce would still be in Boston.)

Based on his play last season, moving Humphries for anything of value—even on an expiring deal—will be problematic unless Rajon Rondo, draft picks, or young players (Olynyk, Sullinger, Bradley, etc.) are attached, and there’s zero reason for the Celtics to be making that type of trade unless a miracle offer from one of the league’s sillier GM’s appears in Ainge’s voice mail. I know Brendan thinks Humphries is as good as gone, but him playing out the year is a very real possibility.

On-Court Fit: Referring back to the previous paragraph where I wrote “Based on his play last season,” Humphries is coming off an unexpected down year. So that’s concerning. He appeared in three more games last year than in 2012, yet played about 1000 fewer minutes with 41 fewer starts.

Humphries’ per 36 minute scoring numbers were lower than his rookie season last year. The market for all teams looking to add $12 million worth of salary, even if it’s on an expiring deal, is thin. If Humphries spends the whole year in Boston, at least they’ll have someone who can set screens and still rebound the ball pretty well. (Despite the decrease in playing time, Humphries’ rebounding rates last year were side by side with his career average. His usage percentage, however, was a career low.)

His pick-and-roll defense isn’t the worst thing of all-time, but thanks to those short arms, Humphries struggles in recovery back to the roll man. Want to incorporate a drinking game into your Celtics viewing parties next season? Chug half a beer every time an opposing forward drains a mid-range jumper square in Kris Humphries’ face. A lot of power forwards can shoot now, and Humphries can’t cover any of them.

 

Keith Bogans

Contract Analysis: Last season the Nets paid Keith Bogans $854,389, the veteran’s minimum. This season will be different. If you haven’t already heard: this.

It’s a lot of money, and makes him one of the most overpaid players in the league for 2014. But after next season the two remaining years on Bogans’ contract are non-guaranteed; there’s about a 99.9% chance the Celtics don’t pay a dime after 2014.

On-Court Fit: Long pegged in the 3-and-D role for whatever team that’s paying him, Keith Bogans, at his absolute 33-year-old best, will miss 6.5 (or a bit more) out of every 10 three-pointers he launches and offer individual defense that’s far from “shut down” and barely better than “passable…?” He’s attentive, mostly, but slow. In Brooklyn’s first round series against the Chicago Bulls, Bogans didn’t go above any screens when covering Marco Belinelli on the ball, which, well, if you can’t stick with Marco Belinelli, who can you stick with?

Think of Bogans as an older, less athletic Courtney Lee. Then let a chest full of relief rush from your lungs after remembering that his contract is only guaranteed for one season.

Gerald Wallace

Contract Analysis: Guaranteed $30.1 million over the next three years. What’s that mean?

  • Wallace is a solid light year or two past his prime.
  • He was outplayed by Belinelli in the playoffs last year.
  • This is arguably the worst contract in basketball.
  • Gulp.

On-Court Fit: Given his well-documented reckless style of play, what happened to Gerald Wallace last season should not have caught anybody who regularly watches the NBA off guard. Unfortunately, that doesn’t make it any less depressing.

Wallace’s shooting splits say it all: 39.7/28.2/63.7. You know how Kevin Durant exceeded the hallowed 50/40/90 mark last season? According to science, Gerald Wallace is the exact opposite of Kevin Durant.

(RELATED: Wallace turns 31 in nine days. If you care to adjust your state of mind on the matter from “depressed” to “permanent vegetation,” I wrote this last year.)

The one hope here (if you’re preposterously rooting for the Celtics to actually win games next season) is that Brad Stevens installs an up-tempo offense. Wallace has always been more comfortable in open court chaos than half-court order, and part of his rapid decline last season might’ve been because the Nets were the NBA’s slowest team. Chances are it’s also because Wallace isn’t good at basketball anymore, but here’s to looking at a toxic non-asset with a glass-half-full mentality!

So there you have it. Four dudes who at the end of the day are members of the Boston Celtics because league rules mandate the salaries in a trade like this need to be close. Truth be told, Ainge would’ve gladly traded Pierce, Garnett, and Terry for three unprotected first round picks alone, if he could’ve. But he couldn’t, and that’s why we’re here. The Boston Celtics are set to journey on the bumpiest of roads in 2014. Buckle up.

  • swissflix

    wow. Brooks really looks horrible in those two clips. I am always amazed to see how beautifully simple basketball is and how some players still don't get basics, no matter what level they play on.

  • TJBrown

    Draft night saw me filled with elation. Glad to move on and begin work on banner #18

  • The Cardinal

    I always enjoy these articles because each author's opinion comes through loud and clear. Playing devil's advocate though, I could take any player in the NBA not named LeBron and Durant, profile them by their deficiences (both real and perceived), and I guarantee you by the time I'm done, Gerald Wallace's contract would not look like the worst in the league (hello Joe Johnson, Kendrick Perkins, DeAndre Jordan, Joel Anthony, etc…) and all of the rest would look like big losers too.

    That said, I love this site because of the undisguised, unvarnished and sometimes contrarian opinions of both the writers and the posters, so I'll just throw in my projections regarding the new players:

    1) Bogans will be traded in tandem with someone else (Lee or Crawford) or a first round pick to free up a few duckies and to allow the C's the ability to sign the center from Spain;
    2) Humphries will end up playing quite a bit of center on this squad depending upon who he's paired with on the floor;
    3) Wallace will serve as primary backup to Green at the 3, and occasionally play the old Posey role at the 4 against the likes of LeBron and Anthony.
    4) Brooks will eventually supplant Bradley as the starting 2 guard; and
    5) Iverson and/or Fab Melo will be traded or cut.

    • Vincent

      I'm sticking with my hypothesis that playing fab Melo 25 mins a night is how the Celtics will land a top 3 pick. God, this is going to be painful.

  • IBleedGreen

    LET"S GO NETS

  • Rajon_Rondo_RR9

    can we do this?

    expiring contracts in exchange for a decent center
    http://espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=ktobr

    • JStokes1313

      Atlanta wouldn't in a million years.

    • Phil

      Expiring contracts aren't an asset, they're something you give another team + assets to make a deal work. You need salaries to match to make the trade, but teams don't want to take on players they don't want for more than 1 year (like Gerald Wallace.) Jordan Crawford is not an asset either, the Cs got him for nothing at the deadline last year, and could probably fetch a similar return now.

      Throw in 3 1st round picks and maybe the Hawks think about that.

  • Phil

    I've never been much of a fan of Brooks' game. I don't even see him being useful if this team is playing for wins. Everyone seems to forget that the Cs have his ceiling on the team already; his name is Jordan Crawford. It's possible that Brooks could turn into something of value, but the Nets tried desperately to trade him last year, look at the contract Nick Young just got, and look at what the Cs paid for Crawford. Chances are he shares a similar fate to Fab Melo, and the Cs eventually quietly decline his option or include him as a throw in in another deal.

    I really hope you're wrong about the tanking thing, but it's true that the moves so far don't prove anything. There's no way the front office is that blind though, right? The parallels between this team and the Pistons circa 2006 are very scary.

    • Banner18

      Any clue why the Reggie Evans addition fell through?

      • Phil

        I'd guess the Cs preferred Kris Joseph because of his unguaranteed contract. Assuming the numbers are close enough to not make a difference. The Cs are already teetering on the edge of the luxury tax and have too many guys on the roster. They don't have much use for an old PF who does nothing for the future.

  • JStokes1313

    To be honest, can't see any of these guys getting considerable play. Wallace may just for the prospect of increasing trade value, but everyone else seems like a less viable option at logjammed positions.

  • W2.

    Exhausted by the optimism.

  • hax

    Brooks: Can we start him over Bradley? It'd be nice to have a shooting guard that can…shoot.
    Humphries: Double-Double PF before the Nets stacked their roster and designed against his strengths. Good bench player.
    Bogans: Good bench warmer. Maybe bradley & bogans can be our defensive back court in certain 'one play' situations.
    Wallace: Led the bobcats by himself to a playoff appearance. The poor coaching of the Nets & the fact that Wallace was their 4th option probably made him look worse. I expect him to come off the bench for Green and play well. He is still in his prime until his contract is over imo.(27-33 seems average)

  • Phil

    I think I need a hug, I just really scared myself with that Pistons reference. It all fits… the GM with the extra long leash because of a recent championship, the brief window of cap space that will be quickly obliterated by a Ben Gordon/Charlie Villanueva summer (DeAndre Jordan and Jeff Green after opting out of his 4th year?) KG playing Rasheed Wallace as a Summer League coach in 6 years with Paul Pierce back in the Billups role as the steely championship vet who should've retired 2 years earlier.

    Maybe Demarcus Cousins will be the Josh Smith, a max guy who everyone agrees isn't a max player because of his negatives, but still they don't kill the move because the franchise could use a couple 7th seeds…

    …I think I'm gonna go lay down and think un-Dumars-y things.

    • michaelpina

      Not sure I agree with that comparison. What similarities do you see between Ainge and Dumars? Why is DeAndre Jordan mentioned at all?

      • Phil

        I was just naming some recent guys who Ainge has shown public interest in that could yield similar returns to Gordon/Villanueva. Jordan and Green (if he opts out,) will be free agents at the same time that the Celtics finally have cap space. My opinions on them are more pessimistic than most I'm sure, but I don't think many people would feel good about committing 30m a year to those two.

        For comparisons between Ainge and Dumars, both are former players who are now in charge of personnel of their old teams. Both won a championship with a questionable team building strategy (Dumars targeted older vets and built through free agency, while Ainge assembled mediocre assets and waited for a perfect storm trade to materialize.) Dumars continued that strategy to a horrible lack of success after the mid 2000s run, and Ainge would appear to be making the same mistake if he's trying to rebuild without tanking. You can only get so much for a couple future 1st round picks. I doubt there's another KG trade lurking.

        The fact that they already won means that neither are in danger of getting a quick hook when things start going bad though, so Ainge has the capability of stalling the Cs for the better part of a decade like Dumars did.

        The KG as a Summer League coach stuff was a joke (though it would be entertaining,) but I don't think I'm the only who questions Ainge's ability to lead this rebuild. Targeting the wrong players in free agency or not tanking for a year (preferably more,) are mistakes that could hurt for years.

        • michaelpina

          Boston is rebuilding, behind the support of a committed ownership group, with multiple unprotected first round draft picks over the next five years and a small stable of young talent still on rookie deals.

          Not sure you can compare Boston to Detroit until they ruin themselves by blowing their cap space, and that just isn't going to happen.

          There's no rush here, and I think Ainge knows that. Any relevant comparisons to Dumars are non-existent, at least to me.

          • Phil

            I'm aware that the comparison is speculative as of now, my point was that I'm afraid of it happening. The names that Ainge has been connected to (Josh Smith was the other big target of late,) leave me wary. It's very likely that the 2015-16 offseason is Ainge's big chance. Who's in the cards for that offseason? If the plan starts with 'lock up Jeff Green' I'd say my fears are warranted.

            Failing landing a big star, will Ainge have the fortitude to roll over the cap space if he misses his first target? Dumars has become an anecdote for not just using cap space because you have it. Blowing an offseason like that isn't a one year mistake.

            Those draft picks are nice, but you don't get franchise changing players drafting in the late lottery, which is where the Cs will be if they don't tank. The Nets picks are probably more useful as trade chips than they are as players as well (just look at 'future Toronto lottery pick' versus 'Steven Adams'.) It's possible that Prokhorov will throw money at money to avoid bottoming out. And teams without their first round pick have a history of out-performing expectations since they don't have a motivation to lose.

            Still, I'd bank on landing a James Harden for those picks as trying to repeat catching the KG lightning in a bottle again. Maybe Houston is proving that there is a way, but it's also possible that lightning struck the same place twice, but still won't strike three times. The James Harden trade was way worse from OKC's perspective than the KG trade from Minny's. It may not be repeated anytime soon.

            You mention there being no rush, but you also said that they're not tanking. What's the point of not tanking while taking it slow? GMs constantly underrate how smart their fans are. Fans don't turn on teams for tanking, they turn on them for locking themselves on the mediocrity treadmill.

  • skeeds

    I'm sorry, but an all star level player does not simply "stop being good at basketball", unless he gets old, (Wallace is still 31) or badly injured. I BET that Wallace will be much, much improved next season being (probably) the 1st or 2nd option on offense. He still won't be worth the 30 million, but he will be better than everyone seems to expect.
    In the span of Rondo's career, Wallace is by far the best complementary player for his style. At least on paper. Quick, strong guy with a knack for getting to the rim and great hands? The triangle of Wallace, Green and Rondo has the potential of being very, very good offensively.

    • hax

      I agree. Watched plenty of Nets game and I can say most players were used against their strengths.

      • check12check

        so true….brooklyn was a mess last year. the only reason they were competitive is because they were stacked with talent. It was being used badly, but the talent was still there

        • Phil

          Brooklyn wasn't stacked with talent and they weren't a mess, they were stacked with guys making twice as much as they were worth. Joe Johnson and Deron Williams are good players, not 20m a year guys, and no coach will make them that. They performed right to expectations for the most part, it was just extra loud because of NEW YORK!!

          If people want to wait to pass judgement on Wallace, that's probably wise, but to expect him to be anything other than a cap albatross is lacking in reality. Saying '31 isn't old' is ignoring context. If he was a doctor, he'd just be getting started… unfortunately he's an energy and athleticism guy in the NBA. That's like saying 31 isn't old for an NFL running back. Some skills age well (shooting, BBall IQ,) others fall off a cliff at 30 and never come back (energy, athleticism.) Wallace hits pretty much every 'fall off the cliff at 30' checkmark, and none of the 'ages well' ones. That's why you shouldn't let Deron Williams be your GM >_>

          Wallace is also far from the best compliment to Rondo. Theoretically, that would be Jeff Green, who is every bit as athletic and good in transition now as Wallace ever was. That transition game thing seems to mostly be a misnomer though. Rondo put up some extremely disappointing numbers pre-injury playing with Green last year, and Green's late season rise coincided with Rondo's injury. Rondo is like CP3; best in a halfcourt offense. Any PG can get dunks on 2 on 1 fast break. You don't get guys with transition being a primary concern.

  • Future Celtics GM

    I don't understand why you think the Celtics aren't tanking, and any good reason why they shouldn't??

    As a management decision, wouldn't it make sense to bench all the old Nets (sans Brooks) and play all your young talent, delay Rondo's return and develop Jeff Green as a All-Star/Top 10 MVP candidate?

    I think you right off this season as nothing more than an opportunity to develop your young guys skill, CONFIDENCE, and experience. Consider this as a VALUABLE asset as theu develop into higher trade chips (be inflated stats because of inflated playing time) or they actually develop into cornerstone's for Boston's future.

    Give AB full reign to develop, let this year gauge if he really will be a starter caliber or tradeable.
    Same for KO, Melo, Brooks and whatever young (potential-filled) player we will have on the final roster.
    There is zero point to playing Bogans or Humphries.

    Also, develop Jeff Green as a Number 1 option and see if he has the potential KG saw in him as "one of the all time greats". I see him as having the POTENTIAL to be a solid player to build around. Pair that with Rondo as the KG like soul/passion/fire of the team and Captain. You may be on to a solid future with these two as elder statesman while new talent develop under them in future years.

    Now the added benefit of this plan, is the Lottery. I'm not saying purposefully tank. I'm saying be realistic and STRATEGIC. You won't be a playoff threat with this roster. Don't waste a minute of playing time for players with no reason to either:
    a) develop as a player for the future
    b) increase trade value
    c) give a "test-run" to really determine value and future potential (ie who cares if Melo blows 5 games for us, better to find out if he's worth keeping or dumping
    d) BUILD CONFIDENCE

    Lastly, apply the Greg Pop system and give EVERYONE a chance to prove their potential and worth. Doc's biggest flaw was lack of trusting and giving people opportunities. I predict C.Lee has a breakout season because he will be used as chess piece that he is an not forced to function as a bishop when he may really a knight. I believe with our new coach we have the College mentality of earning your roster spot and opportunity based on actual output and not on fame.

    This season may be a lot more exciting if we accept it as what it is, a an experiment for growth. Low expectations. Remember how Michael Jordan became Jordan. He was on a bad team with no expectations for many years and just given free reign his first few years with no expectations or pressures to develop with freedom to shoot and play at will. I think if he was drafted in 1984 to Boston he never would have developed these opportunities and MAY have never become "Michael Jordan", but merely a Sam Perkins. Confidence is the most important thing to develop for a newbie to the NBA. This is the year to do it for the Newbies as well as the likes of J.Green and C.Lee's.

    Daniel Lavi

    • The Cardinal

      Seriously enter the season with a "tanking" mindset (geez I hate that word!)? Sorry, I don't buy it. I personally wish we'd all banish the use of that word when discussing the Celtics at least until half the season has been played, if at all.

      Even as a competitive playground athlete I would abhor the thought. Now imagine how a bunch of hyper-competitive professional athletes along with a new, rookie coach – all use to winning and playing for contenders – would react to such a directive before even taking the floor for the first time – naw, uh uh.

      Now if you go into the All Star break as an awful team, then I can see trading away players that may be useful to contenders at the deadline and focusing on playing your potential young core of players over your vets as ways to essentially accomplish this, but I can't imagine planning and implementing a tanking strategy before a single game is played because that would mean ownership, management, the coaching staff, and the players would have zero integrity and would be committing a massive fraud.

      • Phil

        It's all semantics. The front office of teams like Philly and Orlando are "setting their teams up for the future" right now. When people advocate the Cs tanking, they want the same thing. Philly wasn't tanking by trading Jrue Holliday for a future 1st and a young prospect who won't play much if at all this year.

        The players are never in on the tanking, they always try to win because chances are they'll be on a different team when the tanking pays off. If the front office "positions the team for the future" enough though, A team of NBA players playing hard can still go 5-25 when playing against other NBA players playing hard.

        The shadier stuff ("tendonitis") happens towards the end of the year, but Cs fans should be familiar with that process.

        • hax

          hate the orlando tanking theory too. Their team has a lot of talent. Their youth needs to hurt them for it to become a tank year.

  • realityck

    We have no heart, no soul, no winners on this team period. They will not be fun to cheer for. I hope ticket sales plummit and fans loose faith. This is only justifie
    d as the results of danny a’s sad actions. This is a game for the fans and the business has just stolen what actually belongs to the fans. I genuinely hope the business suffers badly. Maybe then, only then, will the nba ALLOW boston to ‘win’ the lotto. Not likely. Most likely boston will get the 7th to 12th selection, selecting no one who will become paul p. Remembet where you heard it first. The celtics will not be relavent enough to draw in any free agent worthwhile, especially since now even boston has become just as commercial and care free with their treatment of legends. Come to boston and be expendable. Boston celtics are no better than the orlando magic. Nothing unique about this team. Red isn’t smiling down on danny’s legacy. He would be sad that even paul couldn’t retire a celtic. Pro sports are pretty convoluted right now, but it all fits perfectly into our pre packaged throw away dying social mores. How pitiful and discraceful that press conference was. Disgusting about sums it up. The anti press conference. Five years ago was heaven, five years later, hell. Let’s go nets! Reality check. At least they know what they got in number 5 (2) and in good old number 34, the captain. Ironic that if hump disrespects paul or kevin this year, rondo will still fight his teammate and the crowd will support our guys even if their jersey reads brooklyn.

  • dhankhera

    goddamn everyone is so negative. suck it up for a year and see waht happens.

    • The Cardinal

      Amen…that's why they play the games. While we all can generally project the likely contenders based upon the paper rosters, it's certainly not set in stone. Throw in injuries – both major and minor, career year bests and career year worsts, a breakout year vs. a regression year, the effects of age or recovery from injury, the rookie or two who turns out to be much better much sooner than anyone projected, team chemistry, etc… it's almost guaranteed there will be at least one team much better than projected and I hope it's our Boston Celtics.

      Unlike many here, I believe it's quicker to rebuild around a competitive core that may be just good enough to make the playoffs (even if the chance of winning a championship is virtually non-existent) than it is to not fully utilize a roster full of solid, NBA veterans and bet on developing your young'uns at their expense while waiting to wheel and deal with "future assets."

      If Danny holds the line and only uses those future assets and cap space to acquire reasonably young, impact players, it will be much easier to sign those players to a team that is already good enough to make the playoffs.

  • Renzo

    Seriously tanking.

  • ghoulbuns

    realityck Im right there with you. Danny Ainge just wiped his dirty arse with the last shred of celtic pride this organization had. Go Brooklyn.

  • tom

    I really think that Brooks and Humphries can be solid 6-7th man combo off the bench. Brooks really compliments Avery Bradley well, one is a lockdown defender one is a good shooter. Humphries' contract is expiring so maybe they can bring him back at a much cheaper price. He can bang in the paint and get boards. Hopefully they can move Gerald Wallace for any expiring contract at all, maybe as an almost give away to some team looking to make a playoff push at the trade deadline. If the C's can make it thru this season by letting the young guys play they should be in good shape for free agency. If they are trying to go the route of a lottery pick, I dont think they will get a top 10 pick with this roster. My guess is they will be around 10 games under 500

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