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Post-game Reactions

Paul Flannery, a good friend of CelticsHub and writer over at WEEI.com, made an interesting find over on WEEI’s Green Street Blog, regarding the C’s chances of winning the top spot in the Eastern Conference at the conclusion of this year’s regular season:

According to Justin Kubatko’s playoff forecasting model on Basketball-Reference.com, it’s actually worth quite a bit. Using Kubatko’s method, the Celtics now have a 72.4 percent chance of gaining the top spot based on 1,000 simulations. That’s up from around 60 percent before Tuesday’s game.

With Kevin Garnett back in the lineup and more help on the way in February from Kendrick Perkins and Delonte West, the Celtics have kept themselves in position to make a run in the second half of the season. They would do well to continue putting pressure on Miami, who play 10 of its 13 games at home in the month of March.

To me at first glance, that 72 percent number seems a bit high with Boston just 2 1/2 games up after Miami has suffered their own rash of injuries these past four games. Nonetheless, you still have to take into the quality of Boston’s schedule thus far. Here’s a quick look at C’s quality opponents left in the East for the remainder of the year.

Miami (2)
Orlando (2)
Chicago (1)
Atlanta (2)
New York (2)

There’s still a couple four game road trips out West, as the C’s venture out there next week for their first true test. Yet, with all the other heavyweights beating up on each other in plenty of head-to-head matchups over the final month, and the C’s slowly but surely getting healthy you can’t help but be encouraged by Boston’s prospects in this department. Clearly, there’s still work to be done but the goal looks a lot more attainable than it did last week, as the C’s looked to have gotten over their post Christmas day slide with only minor effects.

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Brian Robb

Brian Robb co-founded CelticsHub in 2009 and is the currently editor-in-chief. He is a producer and reporter at 98.5 The Sports Hub in Boston and also contributes to Boston.com and Bleacher Report among other outlets.
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  • Chris O

    The chances are probably so good because you are looking at it almost like baseball with the GB crap. Yea Miami is 2 & 1/2 'behind'. Buts its 4 whole losses and they can't make those up like you can in baseball. In Baseball you have double the games and the best teams may play .600 ball. The celtics will probably play .750 ball for the whole season and it would take either them falling hard (knock on wood) or the Heat (or another team) to win like 20 straight for the C's to probably lose the lead. That is why the C's have such a high % we'll say we play .650 from here on out they'd finish 58-24. Meaning the Heat would have to go 29-10 or better the rest of the way. That is asking for a lot both ways

  • BarbosaSamosa